Ref: P43 - Cottage in Cape Breton Island Canada
Ref: P43 - Cottage in Cape Breton Island Canada
European Hotel Transactions 2004 – Country Analysis: Germany, Austria, Central & Eastern Europe
Mar 31, 05 1:58 am
By Philippa Bock, HVS International HVS International's London office has published a review of the European hotel transactions during 2004. This article provides an overview of transactional activity during 2004 for Germany, Austria, Central & Eastern Europe.GERMANYTrading conditions in Germany during 2004 continued to remain a challenge. The health of the domestic economy is a critical factor within the country's hotel industry, with a significant proportion of overnight stays made up of domestic demand. German hotels, particularly those in city-centre locations, have faced numerous challenges, including a decline in arrivals from international markets, a weak economy impacting on inter-regional travel, significant pressure leveraged by the corporate market to lower hotel prices and increased hotel supply.Despite the subdued trading performance within Germany as a whole, investor sentiment remains strong towards Hamburg and Munich and to a lesser extent Berlin and Frankfurt, where there have been significant increases in hotel supply. Single asset activity in Germany in 2004 has been strong, with HVS recording a total of 14 transactions over €7.5 million. These transactions included the 277-room Marriott Hotel in Hamburg, acquired by the German open-ended fund DIFA for a confidential sum from Strategic Hotel Capital; the 139-room Courtyard by Marriott Hotel in Düsseldorf, acquired by a real estate company Dock 13 MBH for approximately €16.5 million; and the 177-room Tryp Hotel in Frankfurt, purchased by the German open-ended fund LB Immoinvest for approximately €21 million (€119,000 per room).In addition, a number of transactions have taken place involving hotels under construction. These projects include:• A hotel complex currently under development near the Potsdamer Platz in Berlin was sold by a German real estate firm to DB Real Estate for approximately €50 million. The complex will comprise a total of three Accor hotels: a 217-room Etap, a 146-room Ibis and a 229-room Suite hotel;• The 328-room Maritim Hotel Project currently under construction in Dresden was acquired by AXA Immobilien for approximately €60 million (€183,000 per room);• The 226-room Mövenpick Hotel Project in Hamburg was acquired by DB Real Estate for an undisclosed sum. In recent years Germany has experienced considerable portfolio investment activity and 2004 proved to be no exception, with the acquisition of Queens Moat Houses (QMH) by Westmont Hospitality and Goldman Sachs. The entire portfolio, which comprised 78 hotels, transacted at approximately €813 million (€73,000 per room). Although no official transaction price is known for the German portfolio, by using the simple approach of applying the average price per room of the total QMH portfolio to the 24 German hotels, some 4,290 rooms, its value is estimated at approximately €313 million.The transactions that have taken place in Germany during 2004 are testament to the fact that sentiment to invest in hotels by institutional investors remains strong. However, with a reduction of leased hotel product of institutional grade available for purchase, German open-ended funds (which typically seek long-term security in proven and well established properties) have been seen to invest more often in hotel development projects. The long lead time of development projects are also attractive at this time, considering the current economic conditions. While we envisage that the interest shown for hotels by German institutional investors is set to continue in Germany and increasingly abroad, it is reported that only €5 billion of capital is expected to flow into German open-ended funds during 2004, a decline of approximately 64% compared to the previous year . Disappointing net returns, a valuation scandal and improvements in the broader equity markets are cited as possible reasons for the decrease. AUSTRIAHistorically, Austria's hotel investment market has remained relatively illiquid, with some investment in the capital Vienna. Following a year of no single asset transactions during 2003, investment activity in 2004 witnessed two hotels transacting. A consortium of investors including Vienna International Hotel Management (VIHM), an Austrian hotel operator, has acquired the 300-room InterContinental Loipersdorf for approximately €20 million (€67,000 per room). One further transaction took place in 2004, involving the 225-room Arcotel Wimberger in Vienna. The hotel was purchased by the private hotel company Arcotel Hotels & Resorts for an undisclosed sum. Austria enjoyed only a modest improvement in operating performance during 2004, impacted somewhat by the depressed German economy. Nevertheless, due to its close proximity to Eastern Europe, the Viennese hotel market is likely to benefit from the expansion of the EU, which will impact positively on the investment market. Furthermore, as the German economy recovers, cross-border activity is likely to increase as German investors take advantage of tax benefits and the opportunity to acquire quality hotels in prime locations.CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPEHistorical hotel investment activity in Central and Eastern Europe has centred on Prague, Warsaw and Budapest; however, in 2003 and more significantly in 2004 there has been a definite shift towards ownership in a broader number of Central and Eastern European markets. Accession to the EU of eight former communist states has boosted investor confidence, and while overbuilding and oversupply in Warsaw has resulted in a double-figure decline in RevPAR for the second year in succession and deterred investors, the region as a whole offers excellent investment prospects. In addition to the Czech Republic, single asset investment activity took place in Croatia, Hungary, Lithuania, Slovakia and Slovenia.Throughout the region, investor sentiment is strongest in Prague, which enjoys strong year-round demand, with robust visitation from both the business and leisure markets. In 2004, the Czech Republic's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by approximately 4% and Prague has enjoyed RevPAR growth of approximately 20% on the previous year. During 2004, one significant transaction took place involving one foreign investor and two assets: the sale of the 788-room Hilton Prague and the 226-room Ibis Karlin were acquired by Ireland's Quinn Group for approximately €145 million. In Hungary the 362-room Marriott Hotel in Budapest was acquired by Erste Bank for approximately €49 million (€135,000 per room).Bratislava witnessed one significant transaction with the sale of the four-star, 168-room Radisson SAS Carlton Hotel, including 12,000 m² of office and retail space. The complex was purchased for approximately €60 million by a consortium of investors including Patron Capital Partners, Trutheim Invest and Nautical1.Meanwhile, in Croatia investment activity was strong as the Croatian Privatisation Fund remained committed to its task of privatising the former communist hotels. In total four hotels transacted, including a 70% stake in the 145-room Hotel Split for approximately €11.7 million (€119,000 per room adjusted to reflect a 100% stake); a 90% stake in the 162-room Grand Hotel Park in Dubrovnik for €7.4 million (€52,000 per room adjusted to reflect a 100% stake); and a 90% stake in the 443-room Hotel Mlini in Dubrovnik for approximately €9.6 million.Despite single asset hotel investment being strong in 2004, portfolio investment activity was much more tempered, with no known publicly quoted deals. With a strong uplift in operating performance recorded in both Prague and Budapest during 2004, these two markets remain the most attractive to investors. It is predicted that, with accession to the EU, an increase in both cities' property values is likely and in time yields are expected to trade close to the levels of similarly attractive markets in Western Europe such as Rome and Amsterdam. Cross-border investors are shown to be active in both markets and this trend is set to continue in the short to medium term.In 2004, improved trading conditions have been experienced in Russia, with Moscow achieving over 20% RevPAR growth compared with the previous year. Historically, investors have been deterred by factors such as non-EU accession, no common currency, a high country risk factor, non-transparent legal situation and the restriction of debt provision. However, the perception of Russia as an investment market is now changing and it is being seen as the next emerging market. With the Russian market becoming more transparent and Western banks slowly becoming more willing to provide debt, coupled with attractive yields on offer, we envisage greater transactional activity in 2005 and beyond. Testament to this view is the completion of the sale of the majority stake in the 301-room Grand Hotel Europe in St Petersburg to Orient-Express Hotels for an undisclosed sum.
